Affectionate-Variable
0x1e7648cb8217996f5ec57b53deb5513e91c77b84
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$122.92
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
67 shares @ 30.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$67.40
$47.00
- YES
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
55 shares @ 82.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$54.53
$9.46
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?
55 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.14
$-0.08
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?
55 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.14
$-0.14
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?
55 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.11
$-0.89
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?
55 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.08
$-0.36
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?
55 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.08
$0.03
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?
55 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.08
$-0.30
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
55 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.08
$-2.12
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?
55 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.08
$-0.37
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$10.24Jun 11, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$15.00Jun 2, 20:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude go down 9-11 times in May?$1.00Jun 1, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?$25.30May 27, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?$60.08May 25, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Celtic FC win on 2026-05-23?$5.04May 23, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?$36.40May 22, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bangladesh win?$15.10May 20, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$25.22May 20, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pakistan win?$0.48May 19, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bangladesh win?$4.38May 19, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$0.15May 19, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$0.15May 19, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pakistan win?$0.92May 19, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bangladesh win?$3.91May 19, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bangladesh win?$3.96May 19, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pakistan win?$1.05May 19, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the match end in a draw?$0.15May 19, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Celtic FC vs. Dunfermline Athletic FC end in a draw?$0.69May 19, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Celtic FC win on 2026-05-23?$3.96May 19, 06:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $0.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 16:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 14:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.