Will "Smoke" be said 100+ times during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?

• 01
  Active signal

  Resolution-risk observation firing

  Expires in 7h. Spread is extremely wide.

• 02
  Spread cost

  Wide spread — 20.0¢

  Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable advantage. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

The IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Final is scheduled for May 17, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the official English broadcast of the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Final. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mentions of the term originating from in-game audio—even in-game characters, the in-game announcer, or player voice comms—will also count toward this market's resolution. If prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video WILL count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If this event is definitively cancelled or otherwise not aired by May 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the FULL official English livestream of the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals at https://www.youtube.com/@ESLCS.

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.