Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?
Probability
32¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-18.0pp
24h Vol
$24.63
Liquidity
$202.81
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 18pp over 24h
Now 32¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 704h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $203 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 703.7h
- 16:17SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 704h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League (EPL) for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the English Premier League (EPL) for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the EFL Championship, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the EFL Championship and the English Premier League (EPL). If the 2025-26 EFL Championship season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the EFL Championship and the English Premier League (EPL). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).