Will Team Falcons win PGL Wallachia Season 8?
Probability
14¢
1h
+2.0pp
24h
-8.0pp
24h Vol
$506.63
Liquidity
$390.65
Probability (last 7 days)
-5.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 8pp over 24h
Now 14¢; +2.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 12.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 6h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 6 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 00:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 6.0h
- 18:02SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 6h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-3.5pp over the last 24h, now 14¢.
Biggest hourly move: -28.5pp at 05:00 (to 10¢).
Show all 33 hour-by-hour ticks
- 18:02 · -9.0pp → 14¢
- 17:00 · -10.0pp → 13¢
- 15:00 · -10.5pp → 13¢
- 14:00 · -10.0pp → 13¢
- 12:00 · +7.0pp → 30¢
- 11:00 · +8.0pp → 31¢
- 09:00 · -25.0pp → 10¢
- 08:00 · -25.5pp → 9¢
- 06:00 · -26.5pp → 10¢
- 05:00 · -28.5pp → 10¢
- 03:00 · -27.0pp → 10¢
- 02:00 · -26.5pp → 9¢
- 00:00 · -22.0pp → 10¢
- 23:00 · -23.5pp → 10¢
- 21:00 · -20.0pp → 13¢
- 20:00 · -16.0pp → 17¢
- 1d ago · -9.0pp → 24¢
- 1d ago · -21.0pp → 13¢
- 1d ago · -18.0pp → 16¢
- 1d ago · -22.0pp → 14¢
- 1d ago · -22.5pp → 13¢
- 1d ago · -23.0pp → 11¢
- 1d ago · -21.0pp → 13¢
- 2d ago · -19.5pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · -21.0pp → 17¢
- 2d ago · -23.5pp → 9¢
- 2d ago · -24.5pp → 9¢
- 2d ago · -20.5pp → 11¢
- 2d ago · -27.0pp → 11¢
- 2d ago · -27.0pp → 11¢
- 2d ago · -22.0pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · -12.0pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · +11.0pp → 32¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the PGL Wallachia Season 8 tournament, currently scheduled for April 16th - April 26th, 2026. If this tournament is postponed, canceled, or a winner has not been declared by May 3rd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, PGL (pglesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/dota2/PGL/Wallachia/8) may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · mediumliquipedia.net
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (12.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.