Will Team Liquid win PGL Wallachia Season 8?
Probability
0¢
1h
-7.8pp
24h
-34.8pp
24h Vol
$805.94
Liquidity
$2.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
-20.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 35pp over 24h
Now 0¢; -7.8pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $2.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 3h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 3 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 00:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 2.9h
- 21:04SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-34.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Biggest hourly move: +24.0pp at 03:00 (to 35¢).
Show all 31 hour-by-hour ticks
- 21:00 · -11.3pp → 0¢
- 20:00 · -3.5pp → 8¢
- 18:00 · -3.5pp → 8¢
- 12:00 · +17.5pp → 29¢
- 11:00 · +14.0pp → 26¢
- 09:00 · +18.5pp → 29¢
- 08:00 · +15.0pp → 26¢
- 06:00 · +16.5pp → 27¢
- 05:00 · +17.0pp → 28¢
- 03:00 · +24.0pp → 35¢
- 02:00 · +23.5pp → 34¢
- 00:00 · +22.0pp → 34¢
- 23:00 · +21.5pp → 35¢
- 1d ago · +22.0pp → 35¢
- 1d ago · +18.0pp → 31¢
- 1d ago · +19.0pp → 32¢
- 1d ago · +13.5pp → 27¢
- 1d ago · +13.5pp → 27¢
- 1d ago · +12.0pp → 27¢
- 1d ago · +9.5pp → 24¢
- 1d ago · +12.0pp → 26¢
- 1d ago · +12.0pp → 26¢
- 2d ago · +14.5pp → 30¢
- 2d ago · +14.0pp → 32¢
- 2d ago · +10.5pp → 35¢
- 2d ago · -3.0pp → 30¢
- 2d ago · -11.5pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · +7.0pp → 32¢
- 2d ago · +12.0pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · -19.5pp → 22¢
- 2d ago · +10.5pp → 38¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the PGL Wallachia Season 8 tournament, currently scheduled for April 16th - April 26th, 2026. If this tournament is postponed, canceled, or a winner has not been declared by May 3rd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, PGL (pglesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/dota2/PGL/Wallachia/8) may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingLinkTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.