Naive-Friendship
0xabe5de1162afa37223e3fae15f268a7842c5d99a
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$166.76
Total PnL
$-33.6K
Realised
$-155.34
Win rate
30%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 8.8¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$78.50
$-9.20
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 11.4¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$48.25
$-8.65
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
210 shares @ 44.2¢·now 19.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$40.01
$-52.84
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07?
3000 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27?
2000 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
1500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-749.99
- LGD GAMING
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
1100 shares @ 33.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-368.99
- NO
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-02?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$1.0KJun 13, 05:51 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.87Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$490.00Jun 12, 01:36 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.60Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$500.00Jun 11, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Mexico (-1.5)$700.00Jun 11, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$53.75Jun 11, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$0.00Jun 11, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$60.00Jun 11, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$31.65Jun 11, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27.40Jun 11, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.00Jun 11, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$102.00Jun 11, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$0.00Jun 11, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$100.00Jun 11, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$11.77Jun 11, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$38.23Jun 11, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Mexico (-1.5)$292.08Jun 11, 17:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $52.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 06:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.