Cylindrical-Polyp
0x5f77ee4e3f295be5600e05aab7c084c2bbe037c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$15.09
Total PnL
$-190.41
Realised
$5.68
Win rate
90%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
11 shares @ 44.2¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.16
$1.30
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
5 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$3.02
$-0.02
- YES
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.60
$0.50
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.05
$-0.05
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.25
$-0.15
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
10 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.01
$-1.70
- YES
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?
5609 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-11.50
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
1263 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-33.13
- YES
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?
1085 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-37.42
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$1.23Jun 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$1.74Jun 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$6.90Jun 12, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$5.06Jun 12, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: June$4.45Jun 12, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$2.10Jun 12, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$8.05Jun 12, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?$0.19Jun 12, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?$0.23Jun 12, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?$1.08Jun 12, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?$1.23Jun 12, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$3.36Jun 12, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$2.75Jun 9, 17:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$3.50Jun 6, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$1.50Jun 6, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$3.10Jun 6, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill President Trump attend the NBA Finals?$4.48Jun 6, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$2.85Jun 6, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.46Jun 6, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$4.43Jun 6, 02:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 15:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.