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CryptoExpires May 1, 2026

Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 90 by April 30?

Probability

24¢

1h

-24.0pp

24h

+2.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$18.77

Probability (last 7 days)

+11.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:40
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 3pp over 24h

    Now 24¢; -24.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 132h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 46.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 132.3h

    LOW
  • 15:40Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 132h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 15:00Price

    Probability down -19.0pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -24.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -12.0pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 04:00Price

    Probability down -12.0pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 01:00Price

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 22.0pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -17.5pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 24.5pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.5pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 28.5pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 25.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 26.0pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 42.0pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 27.5pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 22.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 36.5pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 31.0pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 32.5pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Volmex 1 minute candle for the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (EVIV) between the creation of this market and 23:59 ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" value equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Volmex, specifically the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index "High" values available at https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/EVIV, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
  • Wide spread (46.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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