Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 90 by April 30?
Probability
24¢
1h
-24.0pp
24h
+2.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$18.77
Probability (last 7 days)
+11.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 3pp over 24h
Now 24¢; -24.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 132h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 46.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 132.3h
- 15:40SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 132h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 25¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 22¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 28¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 28¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 25¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 34¢
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 25¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 31¢
- 01:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 30¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.0pp
to 44¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 43¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 22¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 22¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 35¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.5pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 24¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 34¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 34¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 30¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.0pp
to 31¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 42.0pp
to 47¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.5pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.0pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.5pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.0pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.5pp
to 39¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Volmex 1 minute candle for the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (EVIV) between the creation of this market and 23:59 ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" value equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Volmex, specifically the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index "High" values available at https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/EVIV, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the Ethereum Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (46.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).