Will the Las Vegas Aces make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?
Probability
51¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-2.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$99.93
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Sep 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (89.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
-14.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 3pp over 24h
Now 51¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 89.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Sep 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (89.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3454.4h
- 01:37SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
Price movement
-2.5pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.
Biggest hourly move: -14.0pp at 3d ago (to 51¢).
Show top 8 of 32 hourly moves
- 3d ago · -13.5pp → 52¢
- 3d ago · -14.0pp → 51¢
- 4d ago · -13.0pp → 52¢
- 4d ago · -13.0pp → 52¢
- 4d ago · -13.5pp → 51¢
- 4d ago · -13.5pp → 51¢
- 4d ago · -13.5pp → 51¢
- 4d ago · -13.5pp → 51¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2026 WNBA Playoffs per the rules of the WNBA. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 WNBA Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker will not be considered part of the WNBA Playoffs. If the 2026 WNBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after October 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the full eight-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by WNBA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the WNBA and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.