SportsExpires Sep 25, 2026
Creator

Will the Las Vegas Aces make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?

Probability

51¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-2.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$99.93

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Sep 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (89.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

-14.0pp 7d
Apr 27, 2026, 02:00May 4, 2026, 01:37
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 3pp over 24h

    Now 51¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.

  • 03
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 89.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 3454.4h

    LOW
  • 01:37Signal

    Resolution risk

    Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.

    LOW

Price movement

-2.5pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.

Biggest hourly move: -14.0pp at 3d ago (to 51¢).

Show top 8 of 32 hourly moves
  • 3d ago · -13.5pp → 52¢
  • 3d ago · -14.0pp → 51¢
  • 4d ago · -13.0pp → 52¢
  • 4d ago · -13.0pp → 52¢
  • 4d ago · -13.5pp → 51¢
  • 4d ago · -13.5pp → 51¢
  • 4d ago · -13.5pp → 51¢
  • 4d ago · -13.5pp → 51¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2026 WNBA Playoffs per the rules of the WNBA. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 WNBA Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker will not be considered part of the WNBA Playoffs. If the 2026 WNBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after October 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the full eight-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by WNBA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the WNBA and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.