Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 28?
Probability
33¢
1h
+1.0pp
24h
+5.5pp
24h Vol
$137.23
Liquidity
$10.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 6pp over 24h
Now 33¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 72h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $10.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 72.1h
- 15:51SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 72h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 34¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 32¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 32¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 32¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 33¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 31¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 31¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 31¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 31¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 31¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 30¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 30¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 28¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 29¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 28¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 28¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 27¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 26¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 26¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 27¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 26¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 26¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 2¢0.0pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 28?
Crypto · Vol $3.04
- 4¢-2.0pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 28?
Crypto · Vol $0.00
- 16¢0.0pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 28?
Crypto · Vol $66.20
- 30¢+3.0pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 28?
Crypto · Vol $87.90
- 12¢-5.0pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 28?
Crypto · Vol $423.30
- 3¢-3.7pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 28?
Crypto · Vol $0.00
- 1¢-1.4pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 28?
Crypto · Vol $90.21
- 0¢0.0pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $66,000 on April 28?
Crypto · Vol $0.00
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Crypto · Vol $5.8M
- 0¢-8.5pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?
Crypto · Vol $2.8M
- 3¢+1.1pp
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Crypto · Vol $1.2M
- 100¢+7.4pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?
Crypto · Vol $296.3K
- 1¢-0.6pp
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
Crypto · Vol $295.6K
- 0¢-5.5pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?
Crypto · Vol $284.3K
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specifieAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).