Optimistic-Countryside
0xd5c852089d5c3699f2986cf25e84b4ab72c505e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$4.1K
Win rate
96%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 30?
5665 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?
3452 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-12.73
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?
3212 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.61
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 28?
3027 shares @ 46.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 29?
2566 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.77
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 1?
2170 shares @ 78.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 30?
2164 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-48.34
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 29?
2136 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-204.53
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 29?
1849 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-100.26
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 28?
1788 shares @ 22.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-397.68
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$9.64Jul 13, 08:56 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$19.65Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$13.35Jul 6, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$15.46Jul 5, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$23.69Jul 4, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$32.93Jul 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$22.83Jul 2, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$9.52Jul 1, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$11.79Jun 30, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$24.50Jun 29, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$26.98Jun 28, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$15.06Jun 27, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$33.40Jun 26, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$28.08Jun 25, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$15.51Jun 24, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$8.50Jun 23, 14:57 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$21.76Jun 22, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$27.37Jun 21, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.50Jun 20, 08:14 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$30.41Jun 20, 00:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
48/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
96% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
5 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $5.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 00:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 08:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.