Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 28?
Probability
35¢
1h
-4.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$168.27
Liquidity
$13.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 71h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 8.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 3
Expiry in 71h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 71 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 71.2h
- 16:45SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 71h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:45PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 35¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 38¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 38¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 38¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 39¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 38¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 38¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 37¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 37¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 36¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 36¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 36¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 35¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 37¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 34¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 34¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 34¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 34¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 34¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 34¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 34¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 34¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 31¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 31¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 30¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Binance spot pairExchange priceextracted · highbinance.com
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (8.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.