Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 29?
Probability
8¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$7.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 8¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 98h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $7.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 97.7h
- 14:18SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 98h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 8¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 7¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 7¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 6¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 9¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 6¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 6¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 29, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specifieAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.