Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,900 on April 29?

• 1

  Down 1pp over 24h

  Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.

• 2

  Resolution-risk signal firing

  Expires in 49h with open resolution ambiguity.

• 3

  Thin liquidity

  Only $24.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

• 4

  Expiry in 49h

  Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.