Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 4?
Probability
53¢
1h
+3.0pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$810.98
Liquidity
$37.57
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires May 4, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (90.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 53¢; +3.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 11h. Spread is extremely wide.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 90.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 11 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires May 4, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (90.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 16:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 10.8h
- 05:10SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 11h. Spread is extremely wide.
Price movement
+1.0pp over the last 24h, now 53¢.
Biggest hourly move: +34.5pp at 1d ago (to 56¢).
Show top 8 of 61 hourly moves
- 04:00 · +25.5pp → 73¢
- 1d ago · +34.5pp → 56¢
- 2d ago · -29.0pp → 20¢
- 2d ago · -28.0pp → 19¢
- 2d ago · -29.5pp → 20¢
- 2d ago · -31.0pp → 19¢
- 2d ago · -30.5pp → 19¢
- 2d ago · -29.5pp → 20¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.