Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 27?
Probability
5¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-42.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$5.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 42pp over 24h
Now 5¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 44h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 7.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 44h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 44 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 43.9h
- 20:05SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 44h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-36.5pp over the last 24h, now 4¢.
Biggest hourly move: -35.0pp at 1d ago (to 14¢).
Show all 30 hour-by-hour ticks
- 20:00 · -30.0pp → 4¢
- 19:00 · -10.0pp → 5¢
- 17:00 · -7.0pp → 6¢
- 16:00 · +31.5pp → 44¢
- 14:00 · +28.0pp → 44¢
- 12:00 · +31.0pp → 49¢
- 11:00 · +22.5pp → 42¢
- 09:00 · +28.5pp → 48¢
- 08:00 · +28.0pp → 48¢
- 06:00 · +24.0pp → 47¢
- 05:00 · +23.0pp → 46¢
- 03:00 · +19.0pp → 44¢
- 00:00 · -6.5pp → 42¢
- 23:00 · -6.5pp → 42¢
- 21:00 · +17.0pp → 41¢
- 1d ago · +22.0pp → 47¢
- 1d ago · -9.5pp → 15¢
- 1d ago · -9.0pp → 13¢
- 1d ago · -29.0pp → 19¢
- 1d ago · -35.0pp → 14¢
- 1d ago · -31.0pp → 16¢
- 1d ago · -8.0pp → 40¢
- 1d ago · +28.0pp → 45¢
- 2d ago · -18.0pp → 26¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 43¢
- 2d ago · +26.5pp → 48¢
- 2d ago · -10.0pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · -6.0pp → 19¢
- 2d ago · -12.0pp → 13¢
- 2d ago · -9.0pp → 16¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (7.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.