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OtherExpires Mar 22, 2026

Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Probability

73¢

1h

-8.0pp

24h

-10.0pp

24h Vol

$843.28

Liquidity

$4.9K

Probability (last 7 days)

-7.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 07:00Apr 25, 2026, 06:23
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 06:23Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 20.0pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 16.5pp

    to 75¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 16.5pp

    to 75¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 75¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 70¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 24.0pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 22.5pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 21.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 21.5pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 20.0pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 21.0pp

    to 80¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 21.0pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 20.0pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 20.0pp

    to 75¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 75¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 87¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Mar 22, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (21.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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