Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
Probability
73¢
1h
-8.0pp
24h
-10.0pp
24h Vol
$843.28
Liquidity
$4.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
-7.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 06:23SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 74¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.0pp
to 79¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 75¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 72¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 75¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 75¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 70¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 72¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 69¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 69¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 69¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 64¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 66¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 66¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 73¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.0pp
to 82¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.5pp
to 83¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 81¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 81¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.0pp
to 79¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 80¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 79¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.0pp
to 77¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.0pp
to 75¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 74¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 78¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 75¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 87¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 89¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Mar 22, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (21.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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