Will Trump say "Air Force" during WHCA Dinner events?
Probability
37¢
1h
-2.5pp
24h
-12.5pp
24h Vol
$374.22
Liquidity
$1.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 11:54SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 37¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.5pp
to 36¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 38¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 36¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 35¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 48¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 36¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.0pp
to 33¢
- 00:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 12h ago
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 49¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 49¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 49¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 49¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 49¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 33¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 48¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 48¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.5pp
to 49¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.5pp
to 49¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 49¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 37.5pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.5pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.0pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 48¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 47¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner events on April 25, 2026. (see: https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the WHCA Dinner events scheduled for April 25, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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