Will Tesla reach $555 in April?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$270.80
Liquidity
$8.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $8.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 134.5h
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
8- 100¢+35.4pp
Will Tesla reach $405 in April?
Business · Vol $0.00
- 100¢0.0pp
Will Tesla dip to $375 in April?
Business · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+15.4pp
Will Tesla dip to $338 in April?
Business · Vol $0.00
- 1¢-0.7pp
Will Tesla dip to $285 in April?
Business · Vol $244.93
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Tesla reach $518 in April?
Business · Vol $270.86
- 1¢-2.2pp
Will Tesla reach $458 in April?
Business · Vol $111.96
- 7¢-3.0pp
Will Tesla reach $420 in April?
Business · Vol $253.51
- 100¢0.0pp
Will Tesla dip to $390 in April?
Business · Vol $0.00
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).