0xf6619f0ccb8533eb820164c45950a7786dfad6d0
0xf6619f0ccb8533eb820164c45950a7786dfad6d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$148.16
Total PnL
$26.51
Realised
$-2.61
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 8.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.38
$27.80
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
26 shares @ 95.4¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.32
$0.29
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
27 shares @ 93.7¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.95
$0.02
- NO
Sam Altman in jail by June 30?
25 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$24.93
$-0.06
- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
14 shares @ 79.3¢·now 79.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.59
$0.59
- NO
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
5 shares @ 94.6¢·now 98.2¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$5.19
$0.19
- NO
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
5 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$5.06
$0.06
- NO
Anthropic CEO arrested?
5 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$5.00
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$5.08Jun 12, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by June 15?$17.91Jun 12, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2.31Jun 2, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$5.87Jun 1, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 27?$24.97May 28, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 27?$25.00May 28, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$24.93May 28, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$24.99May 27, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$0.07May 27, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$24.99May 27, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.96May 27, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$24.97May 27, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSam Altman in jail by June 30?$24.99May 27, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$24.99May 27, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$1.46May 27, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$24.99May 27, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$1.44May 27, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$23.24May 27, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$1.75May 27, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$24.45May 27, 12:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $12.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 10:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 17:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.