Belated-Penguin
0x1b648bc7d317f7c8bfeff7e91f391c224254bd0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-48.86
Win rate
50%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?
935 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$935.00
$121.55
- NO
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
564 shares @ 37.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$543.41
$334.73
- YES
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?
23 shares @ 30.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$13.80
$6.90
- YES
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
5 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.00
$1.55
- NO
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 44.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.21
$0.89
- YES
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 36.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.65
$-0.15
- NO
Will Darko Rajakovic win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
1 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$0.04
- NO
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1 shares @ 89.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.00
$0.10
- NO
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.00
$0.05
- NO
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1 shares @ 95.9¢·now 91.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.92
$-0.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$435.29Apr 27, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$429.78Apr 24, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?$813.45Apr 23, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$208.68Apr 23, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win more than 62.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$2.00Apr 14, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$4.01Apr 14, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMSouthern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5$386.00Apr 14, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?$708.00Apr 14, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLDatabricks IPO before 2027?$123.82Apr 13, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLDatabricks IPO before 2027?$314.88Apr 12, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLDatabricks IPO before 2027?$316.68Apr 12, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYDatabricks IPO before 2027?$658.70Apr 11, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$171.72Apr 9, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$445.73Apr 9, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?$40.96Apr 9, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?$42.24Apr 7, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLGRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?$43.29Mar 30, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?$424.09Mar 30, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$850.45Mar 30, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?$44.46Mar 30, 04:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $271.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 04:58 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.