Will Valve remove Dust 2 from the Map Pool?
Probability
12¢
1h
+0.4pp
24h
+3.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$76.91
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Up 3pp over 24h
Now 12¢; +0.4pp in the last hour.
- 2
Wide spread — 14.8¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowPrice movement
+2.7pp over the last 24h, now 12¢.
Biggest hourly move: -4.2pp at 1d ago (to 9¢).
Show top 8 of 19 hourly moves
- 20:00 · -3.4pp → 9¢
- 18:00 · -3.9pp → 9¢
- 12:00 · -3.5pp → 9¢
- 1d ago · -4.2pp → 9¢
- 1d ago · -3.9pp → 9¢
- 1d ago · -3.4pp → 9¢
- 1d ago · -3.4pp → 9¢
- 3d ago · +3.4pp → 13¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
12- 14¢+1.0pp
Will Valve remove Mirage from the Map Pool?
Other · Vol $3.30
- 23¢+2.5pp
Will Valve remove Nuke from the Map Pool?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 22¢-1.5pp
Will Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?
Other · Vol $34.52
- 100¢+25.1pp
Will Valve remove Train from the Map Pool?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 16¢-0.5pp
Will Valve remove Inferno from the Map Pool?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 20¢+2.0pp
Will Valve remove Ancient from the Map Pool?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 4¢0.0pp
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Other · Vol $436.6K
- 36¢-0.9pp
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $367.6K
- 11¢+0.1pp
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $263.6K
- 12¢+1.4pp
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $256.5K
- 56¢+2.0pp
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27?
Other · Vol $236.5K
- 30¢+25.7pp
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
Other · Vol $222.8K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Valve removes the listed map from the official map pool by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and the removal lasts continuously for at least 48 hours. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Temporary or testing removals reversed within 48 hours do not count. The "official map pool" refers to the Active Duty map group in CS2, used for competitive matchmaking (Premier mode) and professional tournaments. For the purpose of this market, “Valve” refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- —
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (14.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.