Will Vedat Muriqi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Probability
8¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+5.1pp
24h Vol
$2.2K
Liquidity
$3.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 829.3h
- 10:44SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 829h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 10:44PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.9pp
to 9¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 7¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.6pp
to 7¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.2pp
to 8¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.7pp
to 8¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 8¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 8¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.2pp
to 8¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.2pp
to 3¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.2pp
to 3¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 3¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 3¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.2pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 4¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.7pp
to 4¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.7pp
to 4¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 4¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.2pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.2pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 4¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season. If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Goals scored in La Liga matches only will count. Goals in other competitions (e.g., Copa del Rey, Spanish Super Cup, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025–26 La Liga season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official statistics from La Liga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (5.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).