Grubby-Ballet
0x84966288ea13ed02f76e23f830414bcb588627b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$4.5K
Total PnL
$-869.55
Realised
$19.39
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14880 shares @ 7.8¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.7K
$514.27
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
1124 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$16.86
- NO
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
576 shares @ 77.5¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$397.64
$-49.36
- YES
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
1881 shares @ 7.8¢·now 9.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$170.21
$22.50
- YES
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
205 shares @ 73.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$145.89
$-4.11
- NO
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?
144 shares @ 87.8¢·now 94.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$136.50
$9.83
- YES
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
189 shares @ 52.8¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$118.37
$18.37
- YES
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
398 shares @ 24.8¢·now 26.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$106.77
$8.10
- YES
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
147 shares @ 68.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$103.68
$3.68
- YES
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
185 shares @ 54.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$99.07
$-0.93
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.24Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$44.70Jun 13, 16:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$314.38Jun 12, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$49.49Jun 12, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.26Jun 12, 19:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$152.00Jun 11, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$61.57Jun 11, 20:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlorentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?$100.36Jun 4, 09:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.97Jun 3, 14:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $47.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 12:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.