Will Wizkid perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Probability
42¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$94.59
Probability (last 7 days)
+15.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 2018h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 78.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 2018.5h
- 21:31SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 2018h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 42¢.
Biggest hourly move: +15.5pp at 2d ago (to 42¢).
Show 2 hourly moves
- 2d ago · +15.5pp → 42¢
- 2d ago · +15.5pp → 42¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
FIFA has confirmed that the first World Cup halftime show will take place at the FIFA World Cup Final on July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey. The show will be produced by Global Citizen. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual performs live and in person at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show on July 19, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying performance includes any live appearance during the halftime show, including guest appearances, even if the artist does not perform a full set. If this event is cancelled, postponed, or rescheduled beyond September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be footage of the FIFA World Cup Final halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jul 19, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (78.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.