Will "Zeus" be said during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final?
Probability
20¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.1pp
24h Vol
$23.74
Liquidity
$58.38
Probability (last 7 days)
-39.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 2
Wide spread — 31.3¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 3
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 17:44SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 20¢.
Biggest hourly move: -39.9pp at 4d ago (to 20¢).
Show all 39 hour-by-hour ticks
- 2d ago · -16.1pp → 20¢
- 2d ago · -16.1pp → 20¢
- 2d ago · +16.8pp → 20¢
- 2d ago · +19.7pp → 20¢
- 2d ago · +12.8pp → 20¢
- 2d ago · -18.2pp → 20¢
- 2d ago · -18.7pp → 20¢
- 2d ago · -20.2pp → 20¢
- 2d ago · -19.2pp → 20¢
- 2d ago · -18.2pp → 20¢
- 2d ago · -19.1pp → 20¢
- 2d ago · -18.6pp → 20¢
- 2d ago · -19.6pp → 20¢
- 2d ago · -17.7pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · -22.6pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · -20.8pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · -19.6pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · -18.9pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · -18.8pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · -18.8pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · -30.6pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · -31.0pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · -5.0pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · -6.0pp → 19¢
- 3d ago · -35.8pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · -34.4pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · -34.5pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · -35.5pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · -34.0pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · -34.5pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · -34.0pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · -34.0pp → 20¢
- 3d ago · -34.5pp → 20¢
- 4d ago · -31.5pp → 20¢
- 4d ago · -31.0pp → 20¢
- 4d ago · -31.1pp → 20¢
- 4d ago · -32.0pp → 20¢
- 4d ago · -30.9pp → 20¢
- 4d ago · -39.9pp → 20¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
The CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final is scheduled for April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the official English broadcast of the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mentions of the term originating from in-game audio—even in-game characters, the in-game announcer, or player voice comms—will also count toward this market's resolution. If prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video WILL count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If this event is definitively cancelled or otherwise not aired by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the FULL official English livestream of the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final at https://www.youtube.com/@ESLCS.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 19, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- @ESLCSSocial media postextracted · mediumyoutube.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (31.3¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.