New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun
Probability
92¢
1h
+6.5pp
24h
+11.0pp
24h Vol
$4.0K
Liquidity
$5.1K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 11pp over 24h
Now 92¢; +6.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 03Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $5.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 22:43SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 21:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 2h ago
Price movement
+11.0pp over the last 24h, now 92¢.
Biggest hourly move: +31.5pp at 19:00 (to 82¢).
Show 6 hourly moves
- 22:00 · +24.0pp → 74¢
- 20:00 · +31.5pp → 82¢
- 19:00 · +31.5pp → 82¢
- 17:00 · +31.0pp → 81¢
- 15:00 · +31.0pp → 81¢
- 14:00 · +31.0pp → 81¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for May 3 at 5:00PM ET: If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New York Liberty". If the Connecticut Sun win, the market will resolve to "Connecticut Sun". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.