Li vs. Fernandez: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
Probability
58¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$210.28
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 198h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 36.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 198.4h
- 02:34SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 198h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+8.0pp over the last 24h, now 58¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 39¢0.0pp
Madrid Open: Ann Li vs Leylah Fernandez
Sports · Vol $208.81
- 48¢0.0pp
Li vs. Fernandez: Match O/U 21.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 68¢0.0pp
Set 1 Winner: Li vs Fernandez
Other · Vol $0.00
- 66¢0.0pp
Ann Li vs. Leylah Fernandez: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢0.0pp
Li vs. Fernandez: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢0.0pp
Li vs. Fernandez: Match O/U 22.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 43¢0.0pp
Set Handicap: Fernandez (-1.5) vs Li (+1.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢0.0pp
Li vs. Fernandez: Match O/U 23.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 74¢+21.0pp
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
Sports · Vol $5.7M
- 92¢+43.0pp
Penguins vs. Flyers
Sports · Vol $2.1M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $1.5M
- 0¢-43.5pp
Athletics vs. Texas Rangers
Sports · Vol $1.3M
- 1¢-2.1pp
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $1.2M
- 0¢-42.4pp
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals
Sports · Vol $1.2M
Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Ann Li and Leylah Fernandez in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (36.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.