Set 1 Winner: Erjavec vs Zheng
Probability
70¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+19.5pp
24h Vol
$1.14
Liquidity
$1.4K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 8, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (39.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 20pp over 24h
Now 70¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 39.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 8, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (39.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 169.6h
- 01:23SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
Price movement
+19.5pp over the last 24h, now 70¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
14- 93¢+0.5
Huzhou: Veronika Erjavec vs Wushuang Zheng
Sports · Vol $4.4K
- 31¢-19.0
Veronika Erjavec vs. Wushuang Zheng: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Sports · Vol $1.19
- 61¢+11.0
Erjavec vs. Zheng: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0
Erjavec vs. Zheng: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 48¢-2.0
Erjavec vs. Zheng: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0
Erjavec vs. Zheng: Match O/U 21.5
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0
Erjavec vs. Zheng: Match O/U 22.5
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0
Erjavec vs. Zheng: Match O/U 23.5
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+44.5
Knicks vs. Hawks
Sports · Vol $3.9M
- 0¢0.0
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Sports · Vol $3.1M
- 42¢-26.0
Celtics vs. 76ers
Sports · Vol $1.9M
- 73¢+5.0
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
Sports · Vol $1.7M
- 48¢+1.0
Stars vs. Wild
Sports · Vol $1.4M
- 100¢0.0
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
Sports · Vol $1.4M
Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Veronika Erjavec and Wushuang Zheng in the Huzhou, originally scheduled for April 30, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Erjavec” if Veronika Erjavec wins the first set. It will resolve to “Zheng” if Wushuang Zheng wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA Challenger match statistics.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.