UnclassifiedExpires May 5, 2026

Saint-Malo: Leolia Jeanjean vs Talia Gibson

Probability

56¢

1h

-0.5pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$914.46

Liquidity

$7.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 17:00Apr 27, 2026, 07:41
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  • 1

    Wide spread — 5.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 192.3h

    LOW

Price movement

+5.5pp over the last 24h, now 56¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Leolia Jeanjean and Talia Gibson in the Saint-Malo, originally scheduled for April 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Leolia Jeanjean' if Leolia Jeanjean advances against Talia Gibson. This market will resolve to 'Talia Gibson' if Talia Gibson advances against Leolia Jeanjean. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 5, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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