SportsExpires May 6, 2026

La Bisbal: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Ashlyn Krueger

Probability

19¢

1h

-13.5pp

24h

-18.5pp

24h Vol

$167.3K

Liquidity

$79.7K

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 6, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Official WTA Tour data
Type
Official sports result
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 27, 2026, 23:00Apr 29, 2026, 17:01
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 19pp over 24h

    Now 19¢; -13.5pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Heavy volume on this book — 2.1× turnover

    $167.3k traded against $79.7k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved down 18.5pp in 24h with 2.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability recovers above 24¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Watch the next 6–24 hours: momentum signals historically extend on this kind of setup but pay spread on entry. Compare to /backtest for the rule's historical performance.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 160.0h

    LOW
  • 17:01Signal

    Momentum down

    Probability moved down 18.5pp in 24h with 2.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH

Price movement

-18.5pp over the last 24h, now 19¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Beatriz Haddad Maia and Ashlyn Krueger in the La Bisbal, originally scheduled for April 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Beatriz Haddad Maia' if Beatriz Haddad Maia advances against Ashlyn Krueger. This market will resolve to 'Ashlyn Krueger' if Ashlyn Krueger advances against Beatriz Haddad Maia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Alerts

¢
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