La Bisbal: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Ashlyn Krueger
Probability
19¢
1h
-13.5pp
24h
-18.5pp
24h Vol
$167.3K
Liquidity
$79.7K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 6, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 19pp over 24h
Now 19¢; -13.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Volume pressure
Heavy volume on this book — 2.1× turnover
$167.3k traded against $79.7k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 03Active signal
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved down 18.5pp in 24h with 2.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 24¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Watch the next 6–24 hours: momentum signals historically extend on this kind of setup but pay spread on entry. Compare to /backtest for the rule's historical performance.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 160.0h
- 17:01SignalHIGH
Momentum down
Probability moved down 18.5pp in 24h with 2.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
Price movement
-18.5pp over the last 24h, now 19¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
10- 43¢+5.0pp
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?
Sports · Vol $4.2M
- 31¢-20.0pp
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
Sports · Vol $1.5M
- 100¢0.0pp
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Rafael Jodar
Sports · Vol $1.4M
- 30¢-3.0pp
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?
Sports · Vol $1.3M
- 3¢0.0pp
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $765.6K
- 16¢+0.1pp
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $687.7K
Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Beatriz Haddad Maia and Ashlyn Krueger in the La Bisbal, originally scheduled for April 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Beatriz Haddad Maia' if Beatriz Haddad Maia advances against Ashlyn Krueger. This market will resolve to 'Ashlyn Krueger' if Ashlyn Krueger advances against Beatriz Haddad Maia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 6, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
20 wallets- Ready-Dissonance16.7K
- Scary-Edible9.1K
- Slow-Escape4.6K
- Tempting-Chrysalis4.2K
- Glaring-Salt3.3K