0x4d15402b96e5e5965adacbe54c05b815049f4f14
0x4d15402b96e5e5965adacbe54c05b815049f4f14
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$425.80
Total PnL
$-141.28
Realised
$20.51
Win rate
33%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
57 shares @ 57.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$57.23
$24.56
- DANIIL MEDVEDEV
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan
56 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$56.06
$22.42
- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians
49 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$48.78
$37.07
- TEXAS RANGERS
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers
43 shares @ 46.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$42.74
$22.81
- SOFIA COSTOULAS
Saint-Malo: Sofia Costoulas vs Leolia Jeanjean
30 shares @ 23.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$29.83
$22.87
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 27?
27 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$27.21
$16.87
- BEATRIZ HADDAD MAIA
La Bisbal: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Ashlyn Krueger
22 shares @ 32.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$22.20
$15.09
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
18 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$18.35
$8.07
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$18.35
$8.81
- ARYNA SABALENKA
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka
16 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$16.48
$10.38
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.96May 2, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$1.06May 2, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$0.88May 2, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$1.06May 2, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$1.10May 2, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.24May 2, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.49May 2, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$1.68May 2, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.95May 2, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 8?$1.77May 2, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$2.04May 2, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)$2.07May 2, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$2.44May 2, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYShymkent 2: Edas Butvilas vs Buvaysar Gadamauri$3.19May 2, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYLa Bisbal: Tamara Korpatsch vs Marina Bassols Ribera$3.82May 2, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand$4.56May 2, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic $7.79May 2, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand$1.20May 2, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)$1.20May 2, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$2.52May 2, 11:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 00:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 18:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.