UnclassifiedExpires May 5, 2026

WTT - Men's Singles: Portugal vs New Caledonia

Probability

51¢

1h

+1.0pp

24h

-20.5pp

24h Vol

$419.55

Liquidity

$558.55

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 27, 2026, 11:00Apr 28, 2026, 13:23
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 21pp over 24h

    Now 51¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 166h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 03
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 98.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 04
    UMA status

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 166.1h

    LOW
  • 13:24Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 166h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-41.0pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the table tennis match between Portugal and New Caledonia in a WTT event, scheduled for April 28 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Portugal' if Portugal wins against New Caledonia. This market will resolve to 'Caledonia' if New Caledonia wins against Portugal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 5, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Wide spread (98.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.