Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 1?
Probability
91¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+42.0pp
24h Vol
$23.83
Liquidity
$7.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 42pp over 24h
Now 91¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 138h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 10.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 138.0h
- 22:01SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 138h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+42.0pp over the last 24h, now 91¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 3¢-12.4pp
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 1?
Other · Vol $100.00
- 2¢-12.8pp
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 1?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 98¢+47.5pp
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 1?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 97¢+46.9pp
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on May 1?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 96¢+45.9pp
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 1?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 61¢+10.5pp
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 1?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 16¢-36.0pp
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 1?
Other · Vol $75.03
- 4¢-11.6pp
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 1?
Other · Vol $195.00
- 2¢0.0pp
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $359.7K
- 100¢+54.4pp
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $321.0K
- 0¢-2.4pp
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $292.7K
- 4¢0.0pp
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Other · Vol $288.8K
- 85¢-3.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $229.9K
- 1¢-10.1pp
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $227.6K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (10.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.