Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 4?
Probability
94¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+5.5pp
24h Vol
$1.1K
Liquidity
$8.9K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 4, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (9.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 6pp over 24h
Now 94¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 57h. Spread is extremely wide.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 9.5¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 57 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 4, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (9.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 57.2h
- 06:50SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 57h. Spread is extremely wide.
Price movement
+5.5pp over the last 24h, now 94¢.
Biggest hourly move: +33.0pp at 2d ago (to 83¢).
Show top 8 of 23 hourly moves
- 06:00 · +14.5pp → 94¢
- 05:00 · +12.6pp → 94¢
- 03:00 · +7.6pp → 94¢
- 00:00 · +7.1pp → 97¢
- 15:00 · +9.0pp → 95¢
- 14:00 · +7.5pp → 94¢
- 2d ago · +30.5pp → 81¢
- 2d ago · +33.0pp → 83¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Alerts
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