Will Zelenskyy post 180-199 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Probability
1¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.2pp
24h Vol
$387.05
Liquidity
$602.97
Probability (last 7 days)
-22.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 68h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $603 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 3
Expiry in 68h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 68 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 68.5h
- 19:32SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 68h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.2pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.
Biggest hourly move: -22.2pp at 4d ago (to 0¢).
Show all 28 hour-by-hour ticks
- 2d ago · -4.5pp → 0¢
- 2d ago · -5.7pp → 0¢
- 2d ago · -5.7pp → 0¢
- 2d ago · -5.7pp → 0¢
- 3d ago · -6.7pp → 0¢
- 3d ago · -6.7pp → 0¢
- 3d ago · -8.7pp → 0¢
- 3d ago · -12.2pp → 0¢
- 3d ago · -10.2pp → 0¢
- 3d ago · -12.7pp → 0¢
- 3d ago · -7.2pp → 0¢
- 3d ago · -11.7pp → 0¢
- 3d ago · -6.2pp → 0¢
- 3d ago · -12.7pp → 0¢
- 3d ago · -7.7pp → 0¢
- 3d ago · -7.2pp → 0¢
- 3d ago · -7.2pp → 0¢
- 3d ago · -8.8pp → 0¢
- 3d ago · -10.2pp → 0¢
- 3d ago · -10.7pp → 0¢
- 3d ago · -17.2pp → 0¢
- 3d ago · -8.7pp → 0¢
- 4d ago · -5.7pp → 0¢
- 4d ago · -16.7pp → 0¢
- 4d ago · -22.2pp → 0¢
- 4d ago · -22.2pp → 0¢
- 4d ago · -22.2pp → 0¢
- 4d ago · -22.2pp → 0¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 0¢-9.8pp
Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-0.8pp
Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 1¢-4.4pp
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $346.49
- 22¢-16.5pp
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $218.48
- 76¢+32.0pp
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $173.19
- 7¢-1.2pp
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $144.01
- 1¢-0.1pp
Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $77.82
- 1¢+0.4pp
Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $244.72
- 100¢+22.4pp
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $2.2M
- 24¢-25.0pp
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $2.2M
- 23¢-34.0pp
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Other · Vol $743.8K
- 100¢0.0pp
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5
Other · Vol $552.5K
- 48¢+3.5pp
Athletics vs. Texas Rangers
Other · Vol $510.1K
- 0¢-1.6pp
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Other · Vol $476.6K
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between April 21, 12:00 PM ET and April 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- @ZelenskyyUaSocial media postx.com
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.