Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Probability
60¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+31.5pp
24h Vol
$47.08
Liquidity
$100.91
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 86.2h
- 01:46SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 86h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 01:45PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.0pp
to 60¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.0pp
to 60¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.0pp
to 47¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.0pp
to 48¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 47¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 36¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 36¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 36¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 36¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 36¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 36¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 19¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 17¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 33¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 33¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 27¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 29¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the number of times Volodymyr Zelenskyy (@ZelenskyyUa), posts on X between April 21, 12:00 PM ET and April 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://x.com/ZelenskyyUaAmbiguous wording
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (34.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).