Markets

Advancing

Declining

24h Volume

$15.7M

Liquidity

$10.5M

SourcePolymarket Gamma·UpdatedMay 23, 03:03 UTC·updated just now·Snapshotsnap_2026-05-23T03-03Z

Research loop

Start with the scanner

Find one live market where price, volume, liquidity, or source quality deserves attention.

Scanner Market Watchlist Alert Brief

Trade:Trust:

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
GeopoliticsLIVEhigh
14¢
-4.0
Vol 24h: $4.3M
Liq: $505.0K
Expires: 8d
Open
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
GeopoliticsLIVEhigh
3¢
-1.4
Vol 24h: $1.7M
Liq: $263.4K
Expires: 8d
Open
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
GeopoliticsLIVEhigh
74¢
-12.0
Vol 24h: $981.4K
Liq: $47.3K
Expires: —
Open
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
SportsLIVEhigh
9¢
-0.1
Vol 24h: $719.8K
Liq: $1.2M
Expires: Jul 20, 2026
Open
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
GeopoliticsLIVEhigh
4¢
-0.2
Vol 24h: $673.4K
Liq: $536.6K
Expires: Jun 30, 2026
Open
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
SportsLIVEhigh
17¢
+0.5
Vol 24h: $604.8K
Liq: $311.8K
Expires: Jul 20, 2026
Open
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
GeopoliticsLIVEhigh
5¢
+1.1
Vol 24h: $558.1K
Liq: $341.0K
Expires: 8d
Open
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
GeopoliticsLIVEhigh
30¢
+4.5
Vol 24h: $511.6K
Liq: $644.0K
Expires: Dec 31, 2026
Open
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
GeopoliticsLIVEhigh
5¢
+0.9
Vol 24h: $485.1K
Liq: $327.5K
Expires: 9d
Open
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
SportsLIVEhigh
5¢
0.0
Vol 24h: $472.5K
Liq: $1.0M
Expires: Jul 20, 2026
Open
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
SportsLIVEhigh
43¢
0.0
Vol 24h: $466.8K
Liq: $715.7K
Expires: 8d
Open
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
SportsLIVEhigh
9¢
-0.1
Vol 24h: $446.3K
Liq: $484.7K
Expires: Jul 20, 2026
Open
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
CryptoLIVEhigh
2¢
-5.1
Vol 24h: $419.8K
Liq: $198.4K
Expires: 9d
Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
GeopoliticsLIVEhigh
67¢
-4.0
Vol 24h: $388.6K
Liq: $210.1K
Expires: Dec 31, 2026
Open
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
GeopoliticsLIVEhigh
7¢
-0.1
Vol 24h: $335.5K
Liq: $979.7K
Expires: Dec 31, 2026
Open
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
GeopoliticsLIVEhigh
30¢
-1.0
Vol 24h: $327.6K
Liq: $185.1K
Expires: Jun 30, 2026
Open
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
CryptoLIVEhigh
4¢
+2.5
Vol 24h: $326.9K
Liq: $84.2K
Expires: 9d
Open
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
GeopoliticsLIVEhigh
11¢
+3.5
Vol 24h: $302.2K
Liq: $96.9K
Expires: Jun 30, 2026
Open
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
SportsLIVEhigh
18¢
-0.1
Vol 24h: $297.2K
Liq: $629.4K
Expires: Jul 20, 2026
Open
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
SportsLIVEhigh
17¢
-13.5
Vol 24h: $291.6K
Liq: $140.3K
Expires: Jul 1, 2026
Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
GeopoliticsLIVEhigh
35¢
-6.0
Vol 24h: $288.2K
Liq: $170.5K
Expires: 8d
Open
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
CryptoLIVEhigh
11¢
+1.0
Vol 24h: $286.7K
Liq: $64.6K
Expires: Jul 1, 2026
Open
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?
CryptoLIVEhigh
90¢
+43.0
Vol 24h: $272.2K
Liq: $77.6K
Expires: 9d
Open
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
ScienceLIVEhigh
5¢
-0.3
Vol 24h: $246.6K
Liq: $1.2M
Expires: Dec 31, 2026
Open

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

GeopoliticsLIVEhigh

Vol $4.3MLiq $505.0KExpires 8dSpread 1.0¢

Prob

14¢

0.0-4.0

Open

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

GeopoliticsLIVEhigh

Vol $1.7MLiq $263.4KExpires 8dSpread 0.2¢

Prob

3¢

+0.8-1.4

Open

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

GeopoliticsLIVEhigh

Vol $981.4KLiq $47.3KExpires —Spread 1.0¢

Prob

74¢

-1.0-12.0

Open

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

SportsLIVEhigh

Vol $719.8KLiq $1.2MExpires Jul 20, 2026Spread 0.1¢

Prob

9¢

0.0-0.1

Open

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

GeopoliticsLIVEhigh

Vol $673.4KLiq $536.6KExpires Jun 30, 2026Spread 0.2¢

Prob

4¢

-0.3-0.2

Open

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

SportsLIVEhigh

Vol $604.8KLiq $311.8KExpires Jul 20, 2026Spread 0.1¢

Prob

17¢

0.0+0.5

Open

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

GeopoliticsLIVEhigh

Vol $558.1KLiq $341.0KExpires 8dSpread 0.2¢

Prob

5¢

-0.1+1.1

Open

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

GeopoliticsLIVEhigh

Vol $511.6KLiq $644.0KExpires Dec 31, 2026Spread 2.0¢

Prob

30¢

+0.5+4.5

Open

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

GeopoliticsLIVEhigh

Vol $485.1KLiq $327.5KExpires 9dSpread 0.4¢

Prob

5¢

-0.1+0.9

Open

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

SportsLIVEhigh

Vol $472.5KLiq $1.0MExpires Jul 20, 2026Spread 0.1¢

Prob

5¢

0.00.0

Open

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

SportsLIVEhigh

Vol $466.8KLiq $715.7KExpires 8dSpread 1.0¢

Prob

43¢

0.00.0

Open

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

SportsLIVEhigh

Vol $446.3KLiq $484.7KExpires Jul 20, 2026Spread 0.1¢

Prob

9¢

0.0-0.1

Open

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

CryptoLIVEhigh

Vol $419.8KLiq $198.4KExpires 9dSpread 0.1¢

Prob

2¢

+0.1-5.1

Open

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

GeopoliticsLIVEhigh

Vol $388.6KLiq $210.1KExpires Dec 31, 2026Spread 1.0¢

Prob

67¢

+2.0-4.0

Open

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

GeopoliticsLIVEhigh

Vol $335.5KLiq $979.7KExpires Dec 31, 2026Spread 0.1¢

Prob

7¢

0.0-0.1

Open

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

GeopoliticsLIVEhigh

Vol $327.6KLiq $185.1KExpires Jun 30, 2026Spread 1.0¢

Prob

30¢

+1.0-1.0

Open

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?

CryptoLIVEhigh

Vol $326.9KLiq $84.2KExpires 9dSpread 0.1¢

Prob

4¢

0.0+2.5

Open

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

GeopoliticsLIVEhigh

Vol $302.2KLiq $96.9KExpires Jun 30, 2026Spread 2.0¢

Prob

11¢

-0.5+3.5

Open

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

SportsLIVEhigh

Vol $297.2KLiq $629.4KExpires Jul 20, 2026Spread 0.1¢

Prob

18¢

0.0-0.1

Open

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

SportsLIVEhigh

Vol $291.6KLiq $140.3KExpires Jul 1, 2026Spread 1.3¢

Prob

17¢

-12.6-13.5

Open

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

GeopoliticsLIVEhigh

Vol $288.2KLiq $170.5KExpires 8dSpread 1.0¢

Prob

35¢

0.0-6.0

Open

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

CryptoLIVEhigh

Vol $286.7KLiq $64.6KExpires Jul 1, 2026Spread 1.0¢

Prob

11¢

0.0+1.0

Open

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?

CryptoLIVEhigh

Vol $272.2KLiq $77.6KExpires 9dSpread 1.0¢

Prob

90¢

-1.0+43.0

Open

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

ScienceLIVEhigh

Vol $246.6KLiq $1.2MExpires Dec 31, 2026Spread 0.1¢

Prob

5¢

-0.2-0.3

Open

Top 24 markets · ranked by 24h volume · server-rendered snapshot

Market	Category	Status	Confidence	Prob	Δ1h	Δ24h	Vol 24h	Liq	Expiry
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	LIVE	high	14¢	0.0	-4.0	$4.3M	$505.0K	May 31, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Geopolitics	LIVE	high	3¢	+0.8	-1.4	$1.7M	$263.4K	May 31, 2026
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Geopolitics	LIVE	high	74¢	-1.0	-12.0	$981.4K	$47.3K	—
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	LIVE	high	9¢	0.0	-0.1	$719.8K	$1.2M	Jul 20, 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Geopolitics	LIVE	high	4¢	-0.3	-0.2	$673.4K	$536.6K	Jun 30, 2026
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	LIVE	high	17¢	0.0	+0.5	$604.8K	$311.8K	Jul 20, 2026
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Geopolitics	LIVE	high	5¢	-0.1	+1.1	$558.1K	$341.0K	May 31, 2026
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Geopolitics	LIVE	high	30¢	+0.5	+4.5	$511.6K	$644.0K	Dec 31, 2026
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Geopolitics	LIVE	high	5¢	-0.1	+0.9	$485.1K	$327.5K	May 31, 2026
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	LIVE	high	5¢	0.0	0.0	$472.5K	$1.0M	Jul 20, 2026
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Sports	LIVE	high	43¢	0.0	0.0	$466.8K	$715.7K	May 31, 2026
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	LIVE	high	9¢	0.0	-0.1	$446.3K	$484.7K	Jul 20, 2026
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Crypto	LIVE	high	2¢	+0.1	-5.1	$419.8K	$198.4K	Jun 1, 2026
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Geopolitics	LIVE	high	67¢	+2.0	-4.0	$388.6K	$210.1K	Dec 31, 2026
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Geopolitics	LIVE	high	7¢	0.0	-0.1	$335.5K	$979.7K	Dec 31, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Geopolitics	LIVE	high	30¢	+1.0	-1.0	$327.6K	$185.1K	Jun 30, 2026
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Crypto	LIVE	high	4¢	0.0	+2.5	$326.9K	$84.2K	Jun 1, 2026
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Geopolitics	LIVE	high	11¢	-0.5	+3.5	$302.2K	$96.9K	Jun 30, 2026
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Sports	LIVE	high	18¢	0.0	-0.1	$297.2K	$629.4K	Jul 20, 2026
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Sports	LIVE	high	17¢	-12.6	-13.5	$291.6K	$140.3K	Jul 1, 2026
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Geopolitics	LIVE	high	35¢	0.0	-6.0	$288.2K	$170.5K	May 31, 2026
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Crypto	LIVE	high	11¢	0.0	+1.0	$286.7K	$64.6K	Jul 1, 2026
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Crypto	LIVE	high	90¢	-1.0	+43.0	$272.2K	$77.6K	Jun 1, 2026
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Science	LIVE	high	5¢	-0.2	-0.3	$246.6K	$1.2M	Dec 31, 2026