The market moved
+3.0ppin 24h · now 100¢
SV Darmstadt 98 vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 0.5
Sports · resolves May 17 · vol $207.21
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.