The market moved
+2.0ppin 24h · now 14¢
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 4.5
Sports · resolves May 19 · vol $958.62
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 14¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 18.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.