The market moved
+10.0ppin 24h · now 35¢
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 18?
Weather · resolves May 18 · vol $640.15
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 35¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 10.0pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 19.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.