The market moved
+9.5ppin 24h · now 37¢
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 18?
Weather · resolves May 18 · vol $1.2K
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 37¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 9.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 17.3h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.