The market moved
+14.5ppin 24h · now 32¢
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 18?
Sports · resolves May 18 · vol $463.49
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 32¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 14.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 15.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.