The market moved
-2.5ppin 24h · now 2¢
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 18?
Sports · resolves May 18 · vol $843.48
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 17.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.