The market moved
-6.5ppin 24h · now 6¢
Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA Platense: O/U 4.5
Sports · resolves May 20 · vol $220.33
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 6¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 6.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official statistics — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: official statistics.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 30.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.