The market moved

-2.0ppin 24h · now 71¢

LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy - Game 4 Winner

Sports · resolves May 19 · vol $54.36

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 71¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://gol.gg/esports/home.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 33.6h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-2.0pp · LoL: Estral Esports vs RED Academy - Game 4 Winner | Orrery