The market moved
-15.0ppin 24h · now 12¢
Will Meta (META) close above $640 on May 18?
Other · resolves May 18 · vol $147.65
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 12¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 15.0pp shift. Resolution depends on split-adjusted prices as displayed on yahoo finance — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance — https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/META/history.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 16.8h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.