Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 18?

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 86¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 17.5pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore?search=NGD.
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• Market resolves in 5.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.