The market moved

-17.5ppin 24h · now 33¢

Map Handicap: EP (-1.5) vs REBORN (+1.5)

Sports · resolves May 18 · vol $210.97

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 33¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 17.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://vlr.gg.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 10.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-17.5pp · Map Handicap: EP (-1.5) vs REBORN (+1.5) | Orrery