The market moved
-9.0ppin 24h · now 14¢
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?
Macro · resolves Jun 11 · vol $6.25
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 14¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 9.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the monthly percentage change in the consumer price index (cpi / ipc) in may 2026 (variación % mensual total nacional — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in May 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional — https://www.indec.gob.ar/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.